Ballistic Missile Developments in Asia-Pacific: Reducing Risk through Transparency and CBMs

BALLISTIC MISSILE DEVELOPMENTS IN ASIA-PACIFIC: REDUCING RISK THROUGH TRANSPARENCY AND CBMS

22-23 January 2025

Manila, Philippines

On 22-23 January 2025, the FRS in collaboration with the government of the Philippines hosted a regional seminar dedicated to Asia-Pacific. More than 50 participants representing 12 countries took part to this event.

AGENDA

Introduction

Mr Alexandre Houdayer, Secretary General, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)
Amb. Johann Brieger, Ambassador to the Philippines, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Austria
Amb. Massimo Santoro, Ambassador, EU Delegation in the Philippines
H.E. Charles C. Jose, Undersecretary for Multilateral Affairs and International Economic Relations, Department of Foreign Affairs of the Philippines

First session: Ballistic missiles in Asia-pacific: the landscape

Moderator: Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Research Fellow, FRS

Ms Zuzanna Gwadera, Research Assistant and Programme Administrator, IISS (remotely)
Mr Javed Alam, Research Associate for the Nuclear Vertical at the Centre for Air Power Studies

Second session: Drivers of missile dissemination in the region and potential risks

Moderator: Mr Simon Menet, Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Prof. Mely Caballero-Anthony, Professor of International Relations and Head of the Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University (NTU)
Dr Kil Joo Ban, Assistant Professor, Korea National Diplomatic Academy
Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Senior Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Third session: Confidence-building measures and missiles

Moderator: Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Research Fellow, FRS

Amb. Álvaro Domingo Jara Bucarey, Ambassador, Embassy of Chile in Manila (Representative of HCoC Chair)
Ms Lioba Bammer, Representative of the HCoC Executive Secretariat, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Austria
Mr Alexandre Houdayer, Secretary General, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Fourth Session: Missile crisis simulation exercises

Mr Simon Menet, Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)
Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Fifth session: Space developments and spread of dual-use technologies

Moderator: Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Senior Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Prof. Setsuko Aoki, Professor of Law, Keio University Law School, Japan
Mr Alexandre Houdayer, Secretary General, FRS
Dr Yaries Mahardika Putro, Lecturer of International Law, Universitas Surabaya (UBAYA) (remotely)
Dr Joel Joseph S. Marciano, Jr., Director General, Philippine Space Agency

Sixth session: Nonproliferation and cooperation: finding the balance

Moderator: Mr Alexandre Houdayer, Secretary General, FRS

Ms. Karla Mae G. Pabeliña, Associate Fellow, Asia-Pacific Leadership Network
Ms Ida Scarpino, Political Affairs Officer, UNRCPD

February
2023

Research Papers

Hypersonic missiles: Evolution or revolution for missile non-proliferation and arms control instruments?

After listing major programmes and key drivers beyond the acquisition of these technologies, this paper considers their development under the prism of arms control, and analyses whether current mechanisms (non-proliferation arrangements, bilateral arms control treaties and confidence-building measures) dealing with missiles are adapted to these weapons.

October
2016

Other publications

The HCoC: relevance to African states

The Hague Code of Conduct against Ballistic Missile Proliferation (HCoC), which came into effect on 25 November 2002, aims to strengthen efforts to curb ballistic missile proliferation worldwide, thereby supplementing the Missile Technology Control Regime, which restricts access to technologies needed to develop such systems. Ballistic missiles are the favoured delivery vehicles for weapons of mass destruction and therefore have a destabilising effect on regional and global security.

January
2019

Other publications

Ballistic missile proliferation: what should be the role of a small state?

On 15 January 2019, the Institute of National Security Studies Sri Lanka (INSSSL) and the FRS held a South Asia Regional Seminar “Dealing with the missile threat in South Asia” with the support of the European Union. This explainer on ballistic missile proliferation explains a few key aspects of the Hague Code of Conduct against Ballistic Missile Proliferation (HCOC) in relation to small states with special reference to Sri Lanka.

Supporting the Hague Code of Conduct

an FRS project funded by the European Union